Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.003672 0.004012 0.004375 0.004794 0.005265 0.005779 0.006385
2025-11-09 0.003103 0.003580 0.004127 0.004805 0.005630 0.006608 0.007869
2025-11-16 0.002741 0.003276 0.003918 0.004755 0.005829 0.007181 0.009042
2025-11-23 0.002459 0.003019 0.003716 0.004658 0.005922 0.007592 0.010019
2025-11-30 0.002297 0.002888 0.003645 0.004707 0.006189 0.008236 0.011371
2025-12-07 0.002198 0.002825 0.003652 0.004848 0.006583 0.009084 0.013119
2025-12-14 0.002046 0.002675 0.003524 0.004785 0.006670 0.009489 0.014238
2025-12-21 0.001903 0.002526 0.003382 0.004685 0.006687 0.009777 0.015196
2025-12-28 0.001793 0.002414 0.003284 0.004636 0.006770 0.010171 0.016375
2026-01-04 0.001719 0.002346 0.003242 0.004666 0.006975 0.010777 0.018005
2026-01-11 0.001627 0.002247 0.003146 0.004604 0.007023 0.011119 0.019197
2026-01-18 0.001550 0.002165 0.003071 0.004565 0.007102 0.011519 0.020555
2026-01-25 0.001467 0.002072 0.002977 0.004498 0.007140 0.011874 0.021933
2026-02-01 0.001408 0.002012 0.002932 0.004508 0.007316 0.012510 0.024033
2026-02-08 0.001341 0.001937 0.002857 0.004461 0.007384 0.012946 0.025774
2026-02-15 0.001271 0.001853 0.002762 0.004372 0.007364 0.013202 0.027154
2026-02-22 0.001235 0.001819 0.002745 0.004417 0.007599 0.014004 0.029998
2026-03-01 0.001216 0.001813 0.002776 0.004547 0.008010 0.015230 0.034193
2026-03-08 0.001165 0.001751 0.002706 0.004489 0.008040 0.015632 0.036310
2026-03-15 0.001111 0.001682 0.002621 0.004397 0.007992 0.015850 0.037973
2026-03-22 0.001069 0.001630 0.002563 0.004352 0.008037 0.016290 0.040381
2026-03-29 0.001041 0.001601 0.002544 0.004379 0.008239 0.017126 0.044207
2026-04-05 0.001002 0.001551 0.002484 0.004322 0.008251 0.017501 0.046686